Nobody wants war between China and Taiwan, even though the potential is always there. Well, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) institute held a simulation if that happened. Who will win?
Ostensibly, China actually invaded Taiwan in 2026, which prompted Taiwan's allies, especially the United States and Japan, to come to their aid. According to the simulation's research, the war would result in thousands of casualties for Chinese, US, Taiwanese and Japanese troops. It is also unlikely that China will win.
Quoted by us from CNN, the US may win, but they suffer as much as the Chinese troops they defeated. At the end of the conflict, at least two US aircraft carriers are sunk on the bottom of the Pacific and China's modern navy, will be 'a mess'
CSIS ran this war simulation 24 times to answer two fundamental questions, was the invasion successful and at what cost? The answer is terrible.
"The US and Japan lost dozens of ships, hundreds of aircraft and thousands of troops. Those losses will damage the US global position for years," the report said.
In most scenarios, the US Navy loses two aircraft carriers and 10 to 20 large surface ships. About 3,200 US troops will die in three weeks of war, nearly half the toll in two decades of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan.
"China has also suffered greatly. Its navy is in disarray, its amphibious troops are damaged, and tens of thousands of soldiers are prisoners of war," he said. The report estimated China would lose around 10,000 troops killed, 155 fighters and 138 flagships.
Although Taiwan held out and China's invasion failed, they still suffered. "While Taiwan's military is unbroken, it remains too degraded to sustain a battered economy on an island without electricity and basic services." As many as 3,500 Taiwanese troops died, and all destroyers and frigates in its navy would be sunk.
While Japan is likely to lose more than 100 warplanes and 26 warships while US military bases on its territory are attacked by China, according to the report. But CSIS insists this research is only a simulation, not implying a war on Taiwan is inevitable or even possible.
China is likely to stick with its strategy so far. "China's leadership may adopt a strategy of diplomatic isolation or economic coercion against Taiwan," CSIS said.